NHC/NOAA 2PM Advisory – Gonzalo downgraded to a Tropical Depression

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Gonzalo Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072020
200 PM AST Sat Jul 25 2020

…SQUALLS OF GONZALO SPREADING ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA…

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…10.8N 61.9W
ABOUT 50 MI…80 KM NW OF TRINIDAD
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 MPH…32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1010 MB…29.82 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

The government of Trinidad and Tobago has canceled the Tropical
Storm Warning for Tobago and Grenada.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

None.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

Learn more here

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Gonzalo
was estimated to be near latitude 10.8 North, longitude 61.9 West.
Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 20 mph (32 km/h). A general
westward to west-northwestward motion is expected today and tonight.
On the forecast track, Gonzalo or its remnants will move across the
southeastern Caribbean Sea today and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. The system is forecast to dissipate by Sunday
night, if not sooner.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.82 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web a www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND: Gusty conditions associated with squalls will be possible
across the southern Windward Islands for the rest of the afternoon.
These squalls will spread westward across the southeastern Caribbean
Sea through Sunday.

RAINFALL: Gonzalo is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches over Trinidad and Tobago and far northeastern
Venezuela. Gonzalo is also expected to produce 1 to 3 inches over
the southern Windward Islands, the Leeward Antilles, and the
remainder of far northern Venezuela. This includes Saint Vincent and
the Grenadines, Grenada, Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao. Isolated
maximum amounts of 6 inches are possible in the mountainous terrain
of Trinidad and Tobago and far northeastern Venezuela, which may
lead to flash flooding.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

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