NHC/NOAA 2AM | Low pressure area located about 750 miles east of the Windward Islands is gradually increasing in organization

Environmental conditions are expected to become somewhat more conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next couple of days

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2020

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about 750 miles east of the Windward Islands is gradually increasing in organization. However, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the circulation remains broad and elongated, and the low does not yet have a well-defined center of circulation.

low pressure area located about 750 miles east of the Windward Islands

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Environmental conditions are expected to become somewhat more conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph and approaches the Leeward Islands. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely across portions of the Leeward Islands on Wednesday and will spread westward to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Wednesday night and Thursday.

Interests on these islands should continue to monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions
of the area later today.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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