MBIA Met Office 5AM Update

Gonzalo is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches in Barbados, the Windward Islands and Trinidad and Tobago through Sunday night.

TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY (COURTESY: NHC)
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES, MBIA
TIME/DATE: Saturday, July 25, 2020 (5:00 AM)

FOR TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN, CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO
AREA OF SPECIAL INTEREST: 10 – 20 °N AND 45 – 65 °W

GONZALO FORECAST TO BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST

———————————————-
LOCATION…10.1N 58.7W
ABOUT 180 MI…285 KM E OF TRINIDAD
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH…30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1009 MB…29.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Grenada.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 24 to 36 hours.

FORECAST TRACK, INTENSITY AND IMPACTS
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At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 10.1 North, longitude 58.7 West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Gonzalo will move across the southern Windward Islands this afternoon or evening and over the southeastern Caribbean Sea on Sunday.

Learn more here

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before Gonzalo reaches the southern Windward Islands later today. Weakening is expected after Gonzalo moves over the southeastern Caribbean Sea, and the system is forecast to dissipate by Sunday night or Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area today.

RAINFALL: Gonzalo is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches in Barbados, the Windward Islands and Trinidad and Tobago through Sunday night. Gonzalo is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches in northeastern Venezuela through
Monday.

NEXT ADVISORY
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Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

ANDRE CHARLES
DUTY FORECASTER

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