2AM BULLETIN – Tropical Storm Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
200 AM AST Mon Aug 26 2019 - Tropical Storm Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
Please note that the following information is from the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov) the same source where MBIA Met Office and other Met Offices around the world receive their information.
Tropical Storm Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
200 AM AST Mon Aug 26 2019
COMPACT DORIAN EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY…
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST…0600 UTC…INFORMATION
ABOUT 270 MI…430 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 375 MI…605 KM ESE OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* St. Lucia
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Grenada and its dependencies
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests in Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and Hispaniola should monitor the progress of Dorian.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dorian was located near latitude 11.8 North, longitude 55.8 West. Dorian is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected later today, with this motion continuing through Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Dorian is expected to be near the Windward Islands late today and tonight and move into the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Dorian could be near hurricane strength by Tuesday over the eastern Caribbean Sea.
Dorian is a compact tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches in portions of the Lesser Antilles, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely in the warning area by late today. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by tonight or Tuesday.
SURF: Swells generated by Dorian will be affecting portions of the Lesser Antilles by late today. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.