11PM BULLETIN – Tropical Storm Dorian Advisory Number 7

1100 PM AST Sun Aug 25 2019 - Tropical Storm Dorian Advisory Number 7

Please note that the following information is from the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov) the same source where MBIA Met Office and other Met Offices around the world receive their information. 

11PM BULLETIN [See the 8PM Bulletin here for comparison]
Tropical Storm Dorian Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 PM AST Sun Aug 25 2019
Source:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Dorian

DORIAN CONTINUES TO HEAD FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…11.7N 55.3W
ABOUT 300 MI…485 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 410 MI…660 KM ESE OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Barbados Meteorological Service has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Dominica.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Barbados
* St. Lucia
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Dominica
* Martinique
* Grenada and its dependencies

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Learn more here

Additional watches or warnings could be issued on Monday for portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands. Elsewhere, interests in Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and Hispaniola should monitor the progress of Dorian.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dorian was located near latitude 11.7 North, longitude 55.3 West. Dorian is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected on Monday, with this motion continuing through Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Dorian is expected to be near the Windward Islands late Monday or early Tuesday and move into the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Dorian could be near hurricane strength by Tuesday over the eastern Caribbean Sea.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches in portions of the Lesser Antilles, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely in the warning area by late Monday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Monday night or Tuesday.

SURF: Swells generated by Dorian will be affecting portions of the Lesser Antilles by late Monday. These swells could cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

Forecaster Pasch/Latto

Source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Dorian

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